A Small Step Forward 유학, 연구, HCI, 정보와 사람, 창의성

18Jul/070

iPod & Killer Application

이 글은 2005년 2월 19일에 남긴 글.

당시에 한참 iPod을 가지고 놀면서 왜 이놈이 이렇게 인기가 있는 것일까,

Post iPod 은 무엇이 될까 생각했던 기억이 안다.

2년 반 정도 동안에 나의 생각에는 어떤 변화가 있었는지,

원래의 글에 노트를 첨가해 보았다.

iPod을 사고 느낀 점.

iPod은 최고의 디자인을 가지고 있으나
최고의 기능과 음질을 갖고 있지는 못하다.
그러나 MP3 player라는 제품군 자체가
지금의 시장을 형성하는 데에 있어
지대한 역할을 하였고,
특유의 디자인을 활용한 다양한
악세사리와 부가 기능 기기의
구입을 매우매우 자극하는
Killer application 역할을 했다.
그 영향력과 파급 효과가 엄청나다.

하나의 문화 아이콘으로 자리잡은 iPod.
Apple이 잘한 점은 상징화가 아닐까한다.
뛰어난 기능도 음질도 없지만
직관적 인터페이스와 심플하지만 눈에 확 띄는 디자인에 올인한..
선택과 집중을 제대로 한 예라고 생각한다.
PC 시장에서의 선택과 집중의 실패를
이렇게 기대 이상으로 만회했으니..
그리고 iTunes, 온라인 뮤직스토어와 iPod의 연동.
우리나라에선 아직이지만 이 파급효과도
유료 MP3 시대에서 확실히
급부상하고 있는 중임에는 확실한 것 같다.

(2007.7.18 - iTunes의 파급효과는 이 때 이렇게만 언급하고 넘어가기에는 모자를 정도로 큰 것으로 판명되었다고 생각한다. '보이지 않는 컴퓨터' 서평에서 언급했던 소니와 UMD의 관계를 iPod은 iTunes에서 보여주고 있다. 다만 iPod이 훨씬 더 성공적이었을 뿐.)

Killer app를 스스로 만들어 낼 수 있다면 가장 좋을 것이고,
그렇지 못하더라도 향후 몇년 뒤의
Killer app을 예상하고 이에 대해
미리 전문가가 되는 것은
이제 더 이상 선택의 문제가 아닐지도 모른다.
생존이 걸린 문제일지도 모르기 때문에..

(2007.7.18 - 2년 반 전에 툭 던진 문제에 대해 아직도 답은 요원하기만 하다...T.T)

지금까지 수많은 Killer app이 있어 왔겠지만
자동차만한 예도 없을 것 같다.
자동차에 들어가는 수많은 기계적 구성 요소만 해도
만만치 않은 규모인데,
필연적으로 에너지 산업과 관련을 맺고 있어
더욱 큰 범위를 커버하게 되었다.

자동차 덕분에 정유 산업이 더욱 발전할 수 있었고
석유 강국의 입지도 더욱 굳어질 수 있었고
전세계 셀수도 없이 많은 주유소들이 들어섰다.

자동차가 다니려면 길이 있어야 한다.
전세계 촘촘하게 깔린 자동차 도로에 들어간
엄청난 양의 아스팔트와 이를 위해 동원된 인력,
그리고 도로 설계 및 교통 관리, 신호 체계 정비..
거의 모든 차가 가입되어 있다고 보아도 무방한 보험에..

자동차의 이른바 '네트워크 생성능력' 을(좀 어색한 표현인가;)

(2007.7.18 - 어색해서 새로 만든 표현 - 파급효과)

처음 나왔을 때 예상한 사람이 얼마나 있었을까?
여기서 '스타급 센스'가 필요하다!
그냥 얻어지는 것은 분명 아니다..
통찰력, 지식, 감각이 조화되어야 하지 않을까...

(2007.7.18 - 자 이제 이 조화를 어떻게 이루어낼 수 있을지가 관건인데...역시 오늘도 문제만 던진다.)
자동차, 인터넷, 휴대폰...
다음은 무엇인가?

(2007.7.18 - 이 답은 이 글에서 알아보도록 하자)

26Dec/062

iPod Rhapsody

나의 애장목록 1호 iPod 5세대가 운명을 다해가는듯하다.
며칠 전에 한번 떨어뜨렸고, M-Pact 공연때 거대한 비닐봉지에 가방째로 맡겨놓은 것을
받은 이후로, 또 집에서 충전을 한 이후로 서서히 하드가 이상해지더니 (소리가 나고 인식불량)
이제 거의 먹통이 되어버렸다.
Warranty 1년도 지났고, 수리비는 무려 29만원이라고 한다. (하드 교체시)
그러느니 몇만원만 보태면 새 것을 사겠다...
Apple에 대한 배신감을 이럴 때 느낀다..
우리 회사도 5년을 하는 마당에 ㅋㅋㅋ
암튼 기왕 이렇게 된 거 어떻게 하면 살릴 수 있을까 고민고민을 하면서
여기저기 찾아봤다.
방법이 없는 것은 아니었다.
하드를 우선 분리하고 IDE로 연결해서 DOS 에서 돌아가는
bad sector fix 프로그램을 돌리면 고칠 수 있다는 얘기가 있다.
이 방법을 해야할지 심각하게 고민중이다.
bad sector가 있는 것은 HD Tune이라는 프로그램으로 확인을 했고,
XP의 built-in disk check utility로는 별로 나아진 것이 없었기 때문이다.
에휴,
첫번째 iPod은 술먹은 어느날 누군가의 손에 들려갔고,
두번째 iPod은 진짜 요긴하게 사용했는데 하드 문제로 오락가락 하고 있다.
정녕 iPod의 수명은 1년인가.... 슬프다....

18Jul/050

Steve Jobs Speaks at Stanford Commencement

http://www.wiredatom.com/jobs_stanford_speech/index.html

This is the text of the Commencement address by Steve Jobs, CEO of Apple Computer and of Pixar Animation Studios, delivered on June 12, 2005.

--

I am honored to be with you today at your commencement from one of the finest universities in the world. I never graduated from college. Truth be told, this is the closest I've ever gotten to a college graduation. Today I want to tell you three stories from my life. That's it. No big deal. Just three stories.

The first story is about connecting the dots.

I dropped out of Reed College after the first 6 months, but then stayed around as a drop-in for another 18 months or so before I really quit. So why did I drop out?

It started before I was born. My biological mother was a young, unwed college graduate student, and she decided to put me up for adoption. She felt very strongly that I should be adopted by college graduates, so everything was all set for me to be adopted at birth by a lawyer and his wife. Except that when I popped out they decided at the last minute that they really wanted a girl. So my parents, who were on a waiting list, got a call in the middle of the night asking: "We have an unexpected baby boy; do you want him?" They said: "Of course." My biological mother later found out that my mother had never graduated from college and that my father had never graduated from high school. She refused to sign the final adoption papers. She only relented a few months later when my parents promised that I would someday go to college.

And 17 years later I did go to college. But I naively chose a college that was almost as expensive as Stanford, and all of my working-class parents' savings were being spent on my college tuition. After six months, I couldn't see the value in it. I had no idea what I wanted to do with my life and no idea how college was going to help me figure it out. And here I was spending all of the money my parents had saved their entire life. So I decided to drop out and trust that it would all work out OK. It was pretty scary at the time, but looking back it was one of the best decisions I ever made. The minute I dropped out I could stop taking the required classes that didn't interest me, and begin dropping in on the ones that looked interesting.

It wasn't all romantic. I didn't have a dorm room, so I slept on the floor in friends' rooms, I returned coke bottles for the 5¢ deposits to buy food with, and I would walk the 7 miles across town every Sunday night to get one good meal a week at the Hare Krishna temple. I loved it. And much of what I stumbled into by following my curiosity and intuition turned out to be priceless later on. Let me give you one example:

Reed College at that time offered perhaps the best calligraphy instruction in the country. Throughout the campus every poster, every label on every drawer, was beautifully hand calligraphed. Because I had dropped out and didn't have to take the normal classes, I decided to take a calligraphy class to learn how to do this. I learned about serif and san serif typefaces, about varying the amount of space between different letter combinations, about what makes great typography great. It was beautiful, historical, artistically subtle in a way that science can't capture, and I found it fascinating.

None of this had even a hope of any practical application in my life. But ten years later, when we were designing the first Macintosh computer, it all came back to me. And we designed it all into the Mac. It was the first computer with beautiful typography. If I had never dropped in on that single course in college, the Mac would have never had multiple typefaces or proportionally spaced fonts. And since Windows just copied the Mac, its likely that no personal computer would have them. If I had never dropped out, I would have never dropped in on this calligraphy class, and personal computers might not have the wonderful typography that they do. Of course it was impossible to connect the dots looking forward when I was in college. But it was very, very clear looking backwards ten years later.

Again, you can't connect the dots looking forward; you can only connect them looking backwards. So you have to trust that the dots will somehow connect in your future. You have to trust in something - your gut, destiny, life, karma, whatever. This approach has never let me down, and it has made all the difference in my life.

My second story is about love and loss.

I was lucky Ð I found what I loved to do early in life. Woz and I started Apple in my parents garage when I was 20. We worked hard, and in 10 years Apple had grown from just the two of us in a garage into a $2 billion company with over 4000 employees. We had just released our finest creation - the Macintosh - a year earlier, and I had just turned 30. And then I got fired. How can you get fired from a company you started? Well, as Apple grew we hired someone who I thought was very talented to run the company with me, and for the first year or so things went well. But then our visions of the future began to diverge and eventually we had a falling out. When we did, our Board of Directors sided with him. So at 30 I was out. And very publicly out. What had been the focus of my entire adult life was gone, and it was devastating.

I really didn't know what to do for a few months. I felt that I had let the previous generation of entrepreneurs down - that I had dropped the baton as it was being passed to me. I met with David Packard and Bob Noyce and tried to apologize for screwing up so badly. I was a very public failure, and I even thought about running away from the valley. But something slowly began to dawn on me Ð I still loved what I did. The turn of events at Apple had not changed that one bit. I had been rejected, but I was still in love. And so I decided to start over.

I didn't see it then, but it turned out that getting fired from Apple was the best thing that could have ever happened to me. The heaviness of being successful was replaced by the lightness of being a beginner again, less sure about everything. It freed me to enter one of the most creative periods of my life.

During the next five years, I started a company named NeXT, another company named Pixar, and fell in love with an amazing woman who would become my wife. Pixar went on to create the worlds first computer animated feature film, Toy Story, and is now the most successful animation studio in the world. In a remarkable turn of events, Apple bought NeXT, I retuned to Apple, and the technology we developed at NeXT is at the heart of Apple's current renaissance. And Laurene and I have a wonderful family together.

I'm pretty sure none of this would have happened if I hadn't been fired from Apple. It was awful tasting medicine, but I guess the patient needed it. Sometimes life hits you in the head with a brick. Don't lose faith. I'm convinced that the only thing that kept me going was that I loved what I did. You've got to find what you love. And that is as true for your work as it is for your lovers. Your work is going to fill a large part of your life, and the only way to be truly satisfied is to do what you believe is great work. And the only way to do great work is to love what you do. If you haven't found it yet, keep looking. Don't settle. As with all matters of the heart, you'll know when you find it. And, like any great relationship, it just gets better and better as the years roll on. So keep looking until you find it. Don't settle.

My third story is about death.

When I was 17, I read a quote that went something like: "If you live each day as if it was your last, someday you'll most certainly be right." It made an impression on me, and since then, for the past 33 years, I have looked in the mirror every morning and asked myself: "If today were the last day of my life, would I want to do what I am about to do today?" And whenever the answer has been "No" for too many days in a row, I know I need to change something.

Remembering that I'll be dead soon is the most important tool I've ever encountered to help me make the big choices in life. Because almost everything Ð all external expectations, all pride, all fear of embarrassment or failure - these things just fall away in the face of death, leaving only what is truly important. Remembering that you are going to die is the best way I know to avoid the trap of thinking you have something to lose. You are already naked. There is no reason not to follow your heart.

About a year ago I was diagnosed with cancer. I had a scan at 7:30 in the morning, and it clearly showed a tumor on my pancreas. I didn't even know what a pancreas was. The doctors told me this was almost certainly a type of cancer that is incurable, and that I should expect to live no longer than three to six months. My doctor advised me to go home and get my affairs in order, which is doctor's code for prepare to die. It means to try to tell your kids everything you thought you'd have the next 10 years to tell them in just a few months. It means to make sure everything is buttoned up so that it will be as easy as possible for your family. It means to say your goodbyes.

I lived with that diagnosis all day. Later that evening I had a biopsy, where they stuck an endoscope down my throat, through my stomach and into my intestines, put a needle into my pancreas and got a few cells from the tumor. I was sedated, but my wife, who was there, told me that when they viewed the cells under a microscope the doctors started crying because it turned out to be a very rare form of pancreatic cancer that is curable with surgery. I had the surgery and I'm fine now.

This was the closest I've been to facing death, and I hope its the closest I get for a few more decades. Having lived through it, I can now say this to you with a bit more certainty than when death was a useful but purely intellectual concept:

No one wants to die. Even people who want to go to heaven don't want to die to get there. And yet death is the destination we all share. No one has ever escaped it. And that is as it should be, because Death is very likely the single best invention of Life. It is Life's change agent. It clears out the old to make way for the new. Right now the new is you, but someday not too long from now, you will gradually become the old and be cleared away. Sorry to be so dramatic, but it is quite true.

Your time is limited, so don't waste it living someone else's life. Don't be trapped by dogma - which is living with the results of other people's thinking. Don't let the noise of other's opinions drown out your own inner voice. And most important, have the courage to follow your heart and intuition. They somehow already know what you truly want to become. Everything else is secondary.

When I was young, there was an amazing publication called The Whole Earth Catalog, which was one of the bibles of my generation. It was created by a fellow named Stewart Brand not far from here in Menlo Park, and he brought it to life with his poetic touch. This was in the late 1960's, before personal computers and desktop publishing, so it was all made with typewriters, scissors, and polaroid cameras. It was sort of like Google in paperback form, 35 years before Google came along: it was idealistic, and overflowing with neat tools and great notions.

Stewart and his team put out several issues of The Whole Earth Catalog, and then when it had run its course, they put out a final issue. It was the mid-1970s, and I was your age. On the back cover of their final issue was a photograph of an early morning country road, the kind you might find yourself hitchhiking on if you were so adventurous. Beneath it were the words: "Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish." It was their farewell message as they signed off. Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish. And I have always wished that for myself. And now, as you graduate to begin anew, I wish that for you.

Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish.

Thank you all very much.